Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 14.781844 17.183105 19.793817 22.835734 26.275006 30.035131 34.449082
2025-08-17 10.420340 13.619573 17.450846 22.341397 28.378742 35.545727 44.651328
2025-08-24 7.814978 11.233929 15.657203 21.719766 29.721479 39.819923 53.410496
2025-08-31 5.958010 9.314346 13.958667 20.722412 30.162963 42.691460 60.355855
2025-09-07 5.049754 8.478892 13.500093 21.188923 32.419980 47.937305 70.636559
2025-09-14 4.343782 7.788998 13.100414 21.608100 34.545501 53.060846 81.022141
2025-09-21 3.614764 6.918913 12.277418 21.243332 35.412792 56.378258 88.998892
2025-09-28 2.989850 6.101823 11.403461 20.653578 35.815649 58.961731 95.988350
2025-10-05 2.826119 6.064634 11.796741 22.124256 39.527661 66.726705 111.146907
2025-10-12 2.632927 5.936392 12.005826 23.285992 42.806064 74.002389 125.957478
2025-10-19 2.344802 5.572481 11.741073 23.583774 44.648676 79.096180 137.624488
2025-10-26 2.076474 5.200304 11.407297 23.707760 46.177355 83.742238 148.797906
2025-11-02 1.753850 4.677042 10.759974 23.272011 46.846997 87.276700 158.843574
2025-11-09 1.464120 4.172016 10.085414 22.725199 47.305897 90.561295 168.833876
2025-11-16 1.215037 3.704430 9.411687 22.086865 47.516728 93.408332 178.244286
2025-11-23 0.981940 3.217039 8.610250 21.073635 46.892184 94.696556 184.999130
2025-11-30 0.882085 3.058495 8.523794 21.546768 49.192277 101.384680 201.594397
2025-12-07 0.791883 2.904904 8.423472 21.972031 51.421211 108.067240 218.533286
2025-12-14 0.673002 2.634817 7.993600 21.601930 51.975701 111.628979 229.982792
2025-12-21 0.562192 2.357193 7.494843 21.003535 51.981833 114.119177 239.562384
2025-12-28 0.550446 2.404270 7.858767 22.495697 56.593287 125.826173 266.998414
2026-01-04 0.525876 2.401157 8.085249 23.674268 60.602372 136.556714 293.078136
2026-01-11 0.472716 2.280745 7.965328 23.976347 62.682344 143.545190 312.312850